
The Scheldt Estuary is a unique cross-border estuarine system shared by Belgium (Sea Scheldt) and the Netherlands (Western Scheldt), where freshwater from the river meets saltwater from the North Sea.
It is one of Western Europe’s youngest and most natural estuaries, with major ecological value for biodiversity, Natura 2000 conservation, water quality, fisheries, tourism and cultural heritage. At the same time, it is a highly vulnerable flood-prone region due to its low-lying landscape, sea-level rise, storm surges, and increasingly unpredictable rainfall patterns caused by climate change.
Managing this estuary requires balancing flood safety, economic activities such as navigation to the Port of Antwerp, and nature restoration across multiple governance levels and across national borders.







Mark Wiering:
“The Dutch approach has its merits — transparency, honesty about the dilemmas.”
Problem statement
Flood risk management in the Scheldt Estuary has historically focused on hard infrastructure solutions such as dikes, barriers, and embankments. Following the catastrophic floods of 1953 in the Netherlands and 1976 in Flanders, the Dutch Delta Plan and the Flemish Sigma Plan were developed to improve flood protection. While these measures significantly reduced flood risks, they often came at the expense of ecological quality and natural river dynamics.
Today, climate change increases the urgency of adapting these systems. Rising sea levels, heavier rainfall, and changing river discharges create new risks that traditional hydraulic approaches alone cannot solve. At the same time, dredging for navigation, especially to maintain access to the Port of Antwerp, creates tensions with biodiversity and habitat conservation. The governance challenge lies in shifting from “fighting against water” toward integrated flood risk management that combines safety with nature-based solutions such as floodplain restoration, dike setbacks, and “room for the river” approaches. This transition is complicated by fragmented governance structures, different national priorities, and strong institutional dependence on traditional engineering-based solutions.
Impact
The project highlighted both barriers and opportunities for more integrated governance in the Scheldt Estuary. One of the main barriers is the persistence of hydraulic engineering traditions, where safety is prioritised over ecological restoration. Climate uncertainty and fragmented responsibilities across agencies and governance levels slow down institutional change even further. Differences between Dutch and Flemish planning cycles and funding systems also make cross-border coordination difficult.
At the same time, there are strong enablers. The Flemish-Dutch Scheldt Commission (VNSC) and the Scheldt Council provide an established platform for cross-border cooperation and joint decision-making. Integrated water management approaches and growing recognition of nature-based solutions support a more balanced strategy between flood resilience and ecological restoration. Publicly available climate data, predictive models, and long-term scenario planning also strengthen the capacity for adaptive governance. The case study shows that successful flood governance increasingly depends on combining technical expertise with stakeholder participation, scientific knowledge, and long-term strategic foresight.
Workshops
Workshop 1
Stakeholder insights on existing barriers
Workshop 2
Vulnerability Assessment
Workshop 3
Conflicts, Synergies and Future Governance Pathways
The Scheldt - Workshop 1
Workshop 1 (WS1) was the first stakeholder dialogue within the Blue Green Governance (BGG) case study for the Scheldt Estuary, covering the cross-border estuarine system between Flanders (Belgium) and the Netherlands. The estuary is both ecologically valuable and highly vulnerable to flooding due to low-lying land, sea-level rise, storm surges, and increasing pluvial and fluvial flood risks. At the same time, it supports major economic functions such as navigation, the Port of Antwerp, fisheries, tourism, and nature conservation.
The workshop brought together stakeholders from both countries to identify the main climate pressures, governance barriers, vulnerabilities, and opportunities for better integration between flood risk management and nature restoration.
Main climate and environmental pressures
Central challenge: flood risk
- Sea-level rise increases storm surge risks and coastal flooding.
- Heavy rainfall and changing river discharges increase pluvial and fluvial flood risks.
- Coastal erosion, saltwater intrusion, sedimentation, and biodiversity loss are intensifying.
- The estuary is particularly vulnerable because of low-lying land, high land sealing in Flanders, and exposure to North Sea storm surges combined with high tide and strong winds.
Participants stressed that climate adaptation must address both flood safety and ecological restoration simultaneously.
Human pressures intensifying those risks:
- Dikes, dams, and barriers: Historically prioritized flood protection through hard infrastructure.
- Dredging for navigation. The Western Scheldt remains open to maintain .access to the Port of Antwerp. Channel deepening creates major ecological impacts on habitats and estuarine health.
- Land-use pressure: Urban development and land sealing increase flood vulnerability.
Stakeholders highlighted the tension between economic accessibility (shipping and ports) and ecological protection.
Main governance challenges
Flood protection and nature conservation across borders
- Different national strategies: The Dutch Delta Plan;The Flemish Sigma Plan.
- ifferent timelines, priorities, and governance structures between Belgium and the Netherlands.
- Strong path dependency: Traditional hydraulic engineering (“fight against water”) still dominates decision-making. Resistance to shifting from hard infrastructure toward Nature-based Solutions (NBS).
- Fragmented responsibilities across many institutions and governance levels.
Participants emphasized that integrated flood risk management requires moving from control-based approaches toward “living with water.”
Key vulnerabilities, conflicts, and synergies
Vulnerabilities
- Environmental vulnerability. Healthy ecosystems are seen as essential for both flood safety and biodiversity. Stakeholders stressed that nature conservation gains support when combined with other social and economic functions.
- Political agency. Several participants viewed political commitment as a vital issue. Governance choices strongly determine whether integrated adaptation becomes possible.
- Financial capacity was considered important, especially for long-term implementation.
- Social vulnerability was linked to conflicts around depoldering and flood history in Zeeland.
Main conflicts
- Belgium seeks deeper navigation channels for Antwerp, while the Netherlands faces ecological consequences.
- NBS may require more physical space, affecting farmland and private landowners.
Key synergies
- NBS such as floodplain restoration, dike setbacks, and “room for the river” approaches can improve both flood resilience and biodiversity.
Improving governance by participation, science, and foresight
Participation
Cross-border participation already exists through the Flemish-Dutch Scheldt Commission (VNSC) and the Scheldt Council: governments, ports, agricultural groups, and environmental organizations jointly participate.Decision-making is based on interactive policymaking and joint fact-finding. The goal is to build consensus before formal decisions are made
Scientific knowledge
Scientific knowledge is strong, but biodiversity evidence often conflicts with short-term economic interests and hydraulic expertise still dominates over ecological perspectives.
Strategic foresight
Strategic foresight is well developed in both countries through climate scenarios and long-term flood planning, but alignment between Dutch and Flemish scenarios remains limited.
Digital tools
Digital tools such as the Scheldt Monitor provide shared access to data, but their governance role remains relatively underdeveloped.
The Scheldt - Workshop 2
The second workshop explored how participants perceive vulnerability in the Scheldt Estuary using a structured vulnerability framework. The exercise focused on identifying which dimensions of vulnerability are considered most critical for future governance decisions.
1. Introduction of vulnerability dimensions
Six categories were introduced: environmental distribution, social dimension, financial capabilities, subsistence and survival, political agency, and autonomy and creation.
2. Interactive Mentimeter exercise
Participants individually assessed the importance of each vulnerability category using a digital questionnaire. This generated both quantitative responses and qualitative reflections.
3. Collective interpretation of results
Environmental distribution was most frequently identified as a vital issue, particularly in relation to combining flood safety with ecological restoration. Financial capacity was seen as important but less urgent, while political agency generated mixed responses.
4. Reflection on participation quality
Participants noted that some concepts were too technical and required more explanation. Feedback showed strong support for the exercise itself but also highlighted the need for clearer terminology and more time in future workshops.
5. Input for future workshops
The results were used to improve the design of the next workshop and to better align future discussions with stakeholder understanding and practical governance needs.
The Scheldt - Workshop 3
The final workshop focused on identifying governance conflicts and synergies, particularly around the implementation of nature-based solutions and long-term adaptation strategies. Participants discussed how to move from traditional flood control to more integrated blue-green governance.
1. Conflict mapping
Participants explored tensions between economic interests, such as port accessibility and dredging for navigation, and ecological priorities such as habitat restoration and biodiversity protection.
2. Identification of governance barriers
Discussions highlighted climate uncertainty, institutional fragmentation, rigid legal frameworks, and resistance from traditional hydraulic expertise as major barriers to change.
3. Recognition of enabling factors
Existing cross-border cooperation structures, shared monitoring systems, and increasing support for integrated water management were identified as strong foundations for future policy innovation.
4. Strategic foresight and scenario planning
Participants reviewed Dutch and Flemish long-term climate adaptation scenarios, discussing the need for stronger alignment between national strategies and more coordinated cross-border planning.
5. Recommendations for integrated governance
The workshop concluded that stronger stakeholder participation, joint fact-finding, and better integration of scientific knowledge and local perspectives are essential for achieving sustainable flood resilience in the Scheldt Estuary.





